Voters in the Province Quebec have very different ways of determining who to vote for at election time. Left-right ideological distinctions between parties come second to how political parties view Quebec's role within Canada.
The provincial Liberals vary greatly as far as who they shadow federally and whether their ideologies more closely resemble federal Liberals or federal Conservatives. Jean Charest, a former federal Progressive Conservative, is the only federalist option for Quebecers. Some say his party has moved way right, which will not stop left leaning federal Liberals (who live and vote in Quebec) from voting for Charest, even if there is an ideological disconnect.
The Parti Quebecois, led by the controversial Andre Boisclair, is traditionally a left of centre party and is known to have traditionally supported very good social policy consistent with the ideological centre of Quebecers (apart from the language issue). At voting time the PQ attracts support by those who seek sovereignty and some soft-nationalists (who seem to go back and forth between the Liberals and the Parti Quebecois) depending upon political climate in Quebec at the time in relation to Canada and how important ideology is in relation to federalism and Quebec culture at any given time.
The ADQ led by Mario Dumont has sought to find a place in the midst of this federalist -separatist debate. Dumont is arguably the most dangerous of the three, even if he is not looking for Quebec to separate. He is attractive to Quebecers who believe in the 'melting pot' and protecting Quebec traditions, language and culture in a united, albeit, a very decentralised Canada. Dumont is going after the rural vote on promises that he will strengthen and protect traditional Quebec culture and values via a Quebec Constitution. The resolution to ban hejabs in Herouxville, Quebec on behalf of Muslim women is seen as a "shot across the bow" on behalf of the protectionist thinking Dumont is spreading.
A provincial election in Quebec is anticipated to be called this week by Premier Jean Charest. What makes it scary for federal Liberals that Jean Charest have governed since 2003 according to the conservative style "bad news then good news agenda". Even though Premier Charest has been behind in the polls for almost his entire term in office, he seems poised to win a March election because his recent good news strategy has worked, as have political tactics, strategy, a superior organisation and good timing. The PQ, the only party of the others that conceivably could challenge Charest to govern Quebec, does not seem ready for an election and recently lost its lead in the polls to Charest's Liberals.
Charest seems to be just getting stronger now that his "good news agenda" has reached 'full speed'. Today Charest launched his election platform. In it his government takes credit for honouring a promise to improve health care. Charest also promises personal tax cuts if re-elected.
What does this mean for Liberals federally? Are Quebec Liberals more like provincial "Conservatives" because they have that latitude to manoeuvre from the left to the right and back without losing their core support? Do federal Liberals naturally gravitate to the provincial Liberals because of ideology or is it just to protect federalism?
What should federal Liberals be hoping for in Quebec? Do Charest and Harper have a plan to help each other to continue governing?
Following an election victory will Charest be deploying his 'organisation' in Quebec to help Harper's Conservatives win more seats federally. Or, will provincial Liberal organisers help federal Liberals, the federal Conservatives or neither depending upon who is running in which ridings (and what deals can be struck?)
It would be nice to know that any assistance provided by federal Liberals to provincial Liberals will not indirectly be helping Harper. Both seem to be quite good at tactics and strategy.
It is too bad that these ‘smoke and mirrors’ approaches both federally and provincially in Quebec will play such a large role in who gets elected in different jurisdictions in 2007.
In the end I trust 'good ideas' will prevail over tactics, manipulation, and 'matters of timing' in deciding who governs next federally.
36 comments:
For the first time in my life - the Quebec liberals will NOT be getting my vote. It's time to get that clown out of office. He's done absolutely nothing for the province - taxes are at an all time high. Don't underestimate Dumont - I have a feeling he's going to get a lot of the liberal vote. ;)
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男性はお金、女性は快楽を得る逆援助に興味はありませんか？お金を払っても性的欲求を満たしたいセレブ達との割り切り１日のお付き合いで当サイトでは大金を得ることができます。無料登録なのでアルバイト感覚でOK、詳しくはTOPページでどうぞ。
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夏休みで気軽に家出する女子○生が急増しています。しかし家出したはいいものの泊る所やお金が無い彼女たちは、掲示板などで泊めてくれる男性を探す子も多いようです。当掲示板にも夏休みに入ってから通常の3倍以上のメッセージが寄せられています
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